We have all argued at one point or another that Internet impressions are a bit like airplane seats: any revenue is better than no revenue. When an impression leaves the proverbial gate we want an ad on it. Afterwards, it’s gone for good and the opportunity with it. With the growth of social media (I read somewhere that the rise of social media had tripled – maybe quadrupled – the number of impressions online) the Internet is awash with impressions and it’s starting to cause a panic that we’ll never be able to monetize them all. Worse, those people that are panicking about unsold impressions are causing other people to panic about the corrosive affect all those unsold impressions are having, generally, on the value of Internet inventory. Martin Peers wrote about this in the Wall Street Journal yesterday.
The answer to this problem will be in the middle, as always. No one, even airlines, actually ever lets the inventory go for the change in your pocket lest it pull the value of what’s for sale completely under. For now – especially given the economy - the perception of the problem looms larger because the dominant advertising constituency online is direct response, or performance advertising. Everybody needs and wants a piece of it, including brand publishers that would consign it to the back of the plane if times were any better. Instead, they have to compete with social network inventory where direct response may comfortably thrive for as little as a nickel per thousand…or less.
But not all inventory is created equal, nor is all advertising. Despite the existence of a 24 hour programming day, I watch maybe two hours of television a night when I get home, deciding between four channels out of 800. As far as I’m concerned, the world is equally awash with television. But, after a few generations of trial and error one person’s Super Bowl ad is another person’s Ginsu Knife.
Posted by Jarvis Coffin
Posted by David Cooperstein